BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.(BBAI)
NASDAQ

BBAI Stock Analysis — April 2026

$3.75
0.23 (6.53%)

BBAI Stock Price Today (April 2026) — BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Analysis & Key Metrics 2026-04-15

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is trading at $3.75, up 6.53% today (as of April 2026). The stock continues to show early recovery signs above the short-term average, attracting attention from investors looking for Technology growth opportunities.

  • According to consensus analyst estimates, the 1-year price target is $5.33 (42.1% upside).
  • Volatility remains elevated (72.43% annualized), implying wide price swings for short-term traders.
  • The fundamental picture, based on the latest financial filings, is nuanced: solid revenue growth (-37.70% YoY) alongside significant competitive pressures.

BBAI Stock Analysis: Key Metrics & Valuation (April 2026)

Concise, actionable data for investors

Trend posture
Short-term pullback in long-term uptrend
Analyst 1Y target5.3342.1%
Volatility (30d ann.)72.4278High
RSI (14-day)
60.16 (Neutral)
Debt$114.81M (18.76 D/E)

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. - Historical Price & Volume

$3.75
+2.19 (+140.38%)
Price
Volume
Current Price Line
Range: 2Y

Market Cap

$1.70B

Enterprise Value: $1.53B

P/E Ratio

N/A

Forward P/E: -17.90

Revenue Growth

-37.70%

Year over Year

Analyst Target

$5.33

+42.1% upside potential

Key Investor Questions About BBAI

What investors need to know before buying

Is it a good time to buy BBAI stock?

Based on current market data, BBAI presents a neutral technical setup with challenging fundamentals.

  • Technicals say: Neutral (RSI 60.16)
  • Fundamentals say: Challenging (declining revenue trends)
Can BBAI sustain revenue growth in the Information Technology Services market?

BBAI's growth trajectory depends on its ability to expand within the Information Technology Services sector while managing margin pressures.

  • Future growth will depend on performance in core Information Technology Services operations.
  • The ability to manage competitive pressures will be crucial for sustained growth.
What are the biggest risks facing BBAI stock?

The primary risks for BBAI investors include debt exposure and competitive dynamics in the Information Technology Services industry.

  • $114.81M in debt could be a headwind in a high-rate environment.
  • Fierce competition from established players in Information Technology Services.

52-Week Trading Range

52-Week Low$2.36
52-Week High$9.39
Current Price$3.75

Over the past year, BBAI stock traded between $2.36 and $9.39—recovering meaningfully from lows and currently near the higher end. Big swings are likely unless a major catalyst emerges.

Volatility & Risk Profile

30-Day Volatility72.43%
Beta3.25
RSI (14-day)60.16

With 72.43% annualized volatility and β=3.25, the stock exhibits high sensitivity to market moves—making BBAI suitable for investors comfortable with active risk management.

Institutional & Insider Ownership

Insider Ownership66.40%
Institutional Ownership44.42%
Shares Short129.24M

Lower institutional support combined with high short selling points to negative sentiment.

Analyst Sentiment & Price Targets

Mean Target
$5.33
Upside Potential
42.1%
Recommendation
Hold
Analysts see strong upside potential with a target of $5.33. The 42.1% upside suggests optimistic growth expectations.

Latest News & Headlines

Recent headlines and coverage

ZacksApr 16, 2026

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts

The latest trading day saw BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) settling at $3.75, representing a -1.06% change from its previous close.

ZacksApr 16, 2026

Is BigBear.ai Positioned for U.S. Defense AI Spending Surge?

BBAI is lining up for rising U.S. defense AI spend, backed by Ask Sage/CargoSeer buys, a stronger balance sheet and a 2026 revenue growth outlook.

ZacksApr 10, 2026

BigBear.ai's Model-Agnostic AI Platform: A Competitive Edge?

BBAI's model-agnostic platform, boosted by the late-2025 Ask Sage deal, targets defense users seeking flexible, secure AI without vendor lock-in.

Simply Wall St.Apr 10, 2026

BigBear.ai Adds HR And Corporate Affairs Leaders To Support Platform Pivot

BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) has named Jo Ann Bjornson as Chief Human Resources Officer. Alex Thompson has been appointed Chief Corporate Affairs Officer at the company. The executive appointments were recently announced as part of an update to BigBear.ai’s leadership team. BigBear.ai, a provider of artificial intelligence driven decision support solutions, is adding senior leadership experience in people management and corporate affairs at a time when AI adoption remains a key theme...

Simply Wall St.Apr 10, 2026

A Look At BigBear.ai (BBAI) Valuation After Recent Weak Share Price Momentum

Recent performance snapshot BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) has traded under pressure recently, with the share price closing at US$3.29 after a 6% one day decline and negative moves over the past week and month. The stock has also recorded declines over the past 3 months and year to date, even though the 1 year total return figure is positive and the 3 year total return is also in positive territory. See our latest analysis for BigBear.ai Holdings. The recent 1-day share price decline of 5.73% and...

ZacksApr 9, 2026

BigBear.ai Stock Lags Industry: Does Valuation Offer Support?

BBAI stock plunges 44.7% in three months, but a stronger balance sheet and a valuation discount raise the question: support-or more risk?

24/7 Wall St.Apr 9, 2026

Why BigBear.ai Is a Buy Now Even as Revenue Tumbles and Margins Compress

BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) trades at $3.49 as of writing, sitting 43% below its 52-week high of $9.39 and well under its 50-day moving average of $4.18. Our price target for BigBear.ai is $6.16, implying upside of 76.39% over the next 12 months. Confidence is medium, reflecting significant data gaps and a high-volatility profile. Metric Value ... Why BigBear.ai Is a Buy Now Even as Revenue Tumbles and Margins Compress

Motley FoolApr 8, 2026

Why BigBear.ai Stock Sank 11.1% Last Month and Has Kept Falling in April

BigBear.ai stock is now down more than 35% year to date.

Simply Wall St.Apr 8, 2026

The Bull Case For BigBear.ai (BBAI) Could Change Following Its 2025 Results And Major Recapitalization

In early April 2026, BigBear.ai reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results showing a 37.7% year-over-year revenue decline, largely tied to disruptions in select U.S. Army contracts, alongside weaker margins and a swing to an adjusted EBITDA loss. At the same time, the company outlined a pivot toward a platform-centric AI model supported by the Ask Sage and CargoSeer acquisitions and a major recapitalization that lifted liquidity to US$462 million while cutting debt by over 90%. We’ll...

Simply Wall St.Apr 8, 2026

BigBear.ai Recapitalization Fuels Shift Toward Platform Revenue And Acquisitions

BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) is shifting its focus from government services toward a platform-centric AI business model. The company recently completed a major recapitalization that strengthened liquidity and reduced debt levels. Acquisitions of Ask Sage and CargoSeer are being folded into a broader platform strategy across defense, logistics, and enterprise users. BigBear.ai has been known primarily for AI and analytics work with government and defense customers, and the...

Frequently Asked Questions

Common investor questions about BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is currently trading at $3.75. The RSI (14-day) is at 60.2, indicating neutral territory. Wall Street analysts have a consensus "Hold" recommendation. The mean analyst price target of $5.33 implies 42.1% upside from current levels. Volatility is high at 72.4% annualized, meaning significant price swings are common. Investors should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and portfolio diversification before making a decision.

Based on current valuation metrics for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI): The trailing P/E ratio is not available (the company may not be profitable). The forward P/E is -17.90. Price-to-Book is 2.56. Price-to-Sales is 13.35. Valuation should be compared to Information Technology Services industry peers for context, as different sectors trade at different multiples.

Based on 3 analysts covering BBAI, the consensus price target is $5.33. This represents a 42.1% upside from the current price of $3.75. The range spans from a low target of $5.00 to a high target of $6.00, reflecting varying levels of optimism among analysts. The consensus recommendation is "Hold". Note: Analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates and not guarantees of future performance.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) does not currently pay a regular dividend. The company may be reinvesting profits into growth initiatives, or may not yet be profitable enough to distribute earnings to shareholders.

Key risks for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) investors include: 1. High volatility (72.4% annualized)—the stock can experience significant daily price swings. 2. The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, which creates earnings uncertainty. 3. Declining revenue (-37.7% YoY), indicating potential business headwinds. 4. Elevated short interest (27.3% of float) suggests significant bearish sentiment. 5. Broader market and macroeconomic risks (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). 6. Information Technology Services sector-specific competitive pressures. Investors should diversify and consider their risk tolerance before investing.

Here is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (BBAI) current debt and financial health profile: Total debt stands at $114.81M. The debt-to-equity ratio is 18.76, which is conservative and indicates a strong balance sheet with low leverage. The current ratio is 1.78, indicating strong short-term liquidity. The quick ratio is 1.70. The company holds $287.59M in cash and equivalents. Free cash flow is negative at $-46,986,124, which could limit the company's ability to manage debt obligations.