Biggest Expected Earnings Moves Options Implied vs What Stocks Actually Did

0 upcoming reports have a reliable options-implied move. Each is compared with the stock's average absolute move over its last reported quarters, so you can see where the market is paying up for volatility and where it is not.

Updated Oct 9, 2026 2:24 PM ET
565
Reports
116
Before Open
94
After Close
0
With Expected Move

Reliable Beaters

EPS beat in at least 85% of their last reports (8+ quarters).
  • LRCX
    12 of 12 quarters
    100%
  • GE
    12 of 12 quarters
    100%
  • TMO
    12 of 12 quarters
    100%
  • RTX
    12 of 12 quarters
    100%
  • BLK
    12 of 12 quarters
    100%

Beat, Then Fell

Stocks that dropped on the day after more than half of their EPS beats.
  • AUB
    fell after 5 of 6 beats
    83%
  • HWC
    fell after 5 of 6 beats
    83%
  • AXP
    fell after 8 of 10 beats
    80%
  • DTE
    fell after 6 of 8 beats
    75%
  • HON
    fell after 8 of 11 beats
    73%

No reliable options quote: ranked by historical average move

15 Reports
AS
ASPN BMO
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
Est. EPS $-0.08
Est. Rev $71.20M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±26.3% last 11
Beat Rate 73% 8/11 qtrs
ME
MEDP AMC
Medpace Holdings, Inc.
Est. EPS $4.51
Est. Rev $728.76M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±16.1% last 12
Beat Rate 92% 11/12 qtrs
NB
NBIS BMO
Nebius Group N.V. - Class A
Est. EPS $-0.85
Est. Rev $921.89M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±15.9% last 5
Beat Rate 80% 8/10 qtrs
CO
COUR AMC
Coursera, Inc.
Est. EPS $0.18
Est. Rev $375.89M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±14.6% last 12
Beat Rate 82% 9/11 qtrs
HC
HCSG BMO
Healthcare Services Group, Inc.
Est. EPS $0.24
Est. Rev $490.42M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±13.3% last 11
Beat Rate 58% 7/12 qtrs
WS
WST BMO
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.
Est. EPS $2.21
Est. Rev $833.96M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±13.3% last 11
Beat Rate 92% 11/12 qtrs
MO
MOH AMC
Molina Healthcare Inc
Est. EPS $0.75
Est. Rev $10.92B
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±11.7% last 12
Beat Rate 67% 8/12 qtrs
CL
CLF AMC
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
Est. EPS $0.23
Est. Rev $5.78B
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±11.6% last 11
Beat Rate 33% 3/9 qtrs
DX
DXCM AMC
DexCom, Inc.
Est. EPS $0.68
Est. Rev $1.36B
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±11.4% last 12
Beat Rate 83% 10/12 qtrs
NX
NXH AMC
NXH
Est. EPS $-0.46
Est. Rev $499.85M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±10.9% last 11
Beat Rate 50% 6/12 qtrs
IR
IRDM BMO
Iridium Communications Inc
Est. EPS $0.34
Est. Rev $241.03M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±10.7% last 12
Beat Rate 33% 4/12 qtrs
WR
WRLD BMO
World Acceptance Corporation
Est. EPS $0.81
Est. Rev $143.51M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±10.4% last 11
Beat Rate 67% 8/12 qtrs
BM
BMI BMO
Badger Meter, Inc.
Est. EPS $1.24
Est. Rev $242.82M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±10.3% last 11
Beat Rate 58% 7/12 qtrs
DV
DVA AMC
DaVita Inc.
Est. EPS $3.61
Est. Rev $3.54B
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±10.1% last 12
Beat Rate 67% 8/12 qtrs
PT
PTCT AMC
PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
Est. EPS $0.45
Est. Rev $309.98M
Exp. Move —
Avg Move ±9.8% last 12
Beat Rate 58% 7/12 qtrs

How we calculate the numbers

Expected move is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report, divided by the share price. It is only shown when the quotes are liquid and tight. Avg move is the average absolute close-to-close move of the first session that reflects each of the last reports. Beat rate counts quarters where EPS exceeded the consensus estimate; quarters where Yahoo and Finnhub disagree on beat versus miss are shown as "sources differ" and left out of the rate. Rich / cheap compares expected move with average move (1.25x and above is rich, 0.80x and below is cheap). Report times marked with a dashed badge are the company's usual pattern, not a confirmed time. Information only, not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

It is the price of the nearest at-the-money straddle that expires after the report, divided by the share price. It estimates the size of the move (up or down) the options market is pricing in, not its direction.
We compare it with the stock's average absolute one-day move across its last reported quarters. A ratio of 1.25 or more is labelled rich (the market expects more than history delivered), 0.80 or less cheap.
Dates, estimates and results come from Finnhub and Yahoo Finance. Beat rates, average moves and stock reactions are computed by Tickzen from each company's reported history; implied moves come from listed option prices. This is information, not investment advice.