Coeur Mining, Inc.(CDE)Stock Price & Analysis

NYSE

You own Coeur Mining (CDE), and on September 23 the stock fell 5.7% while the S&P 500 slipped 0.7%. The worry is whether to sell before it falls further. Here is what is known. Coeur's last quarterly report showed record revenue, driven in large part by two recently acquired mines, New Afton and Rainy River. The real question is whether those two mines catch up to plan, and what you could lose while they try.

While gold trades roughly flat YTD, Coeur Mining, Alamos Gold, and Wheaton Precious Metals have outperformed, boosted by strong earnings, free cash flow, and rising dividends.

Coeur Mining (CDE) has fallen about 10% from its late-August high, and the question is whether to step in. Its own record after sharp falls argues for caution: the typical fall left buyers lower a year later. But those qualifying falls were drops of 20% or more, and this pullback is smaller. And Coeur is still absorbing two Canadian mines whose ramp-up has already slipped.

The last time silver went on a historic run, miners burned through cash and spent years digging out from debt. Something very different is happening this cycle, and the balance sheets tell a story the stock prices have barely started to reflect.

Global 10 year government bond yields have been moving higher, which raises the appeal of assets that can respond directly to inflation pressure. Gold sits at the center of that discussion because many investors view it as a store of value when real returns feel harder to secure. This article looks at three leading gold mining stocks that aim to offer focused exposure to that theme. The three stocks covered below are only a sample of this theme, and the full screen surfaced 32 more gold...

The gold producer screens as a perfect bolt-on for a major, and with ownership so widely dispersed, the only real question is who might make the first move.

At $21.59, Coeur Mining (CDE) looks set up for roughly 31% of upside over the next three years under a conservative scenario. Not a moonshot, but enough to matter if the math holds. Revenue compounding does the work, but the multiple takes a meaningful cut along the way. Here is the operational reality the math is built on.

A low correlation to the market is not the same thing as a calm holding, and this gold and silver miner shows why.

A Treasury Department move sent silver and gold miners surging double digits in a single session, but the precious metals equities have barely kept pace with their underlying metals all year. The real question is whether Wednesday's catalyst finally closes that gap or just adds another head fake to the list.

Cheaper than the market on earnings and nearly double it on sales, the miner's valuation rests on how much of each revenue dollar it keeps.