Ford Motor Company(F)Stock Forecast 2027 & Price Targets
NYSE

F Stock Forecast Chart

F Stock Forecast 2027: Price Prediction, Price Target & Outlook

Tickzen modelOct 2027 forecast, scaled to the latest close of $12.25

80% of modelled outcomes finish between

$8.03 – $22.19

−34% to +81% from today's $12.25 · 59% chance of finishing above today's price

F Bear Case Forecast 2027

$8.03

−34% vs today

10% probability of finishing below $8.03

F Median Forecast 2027

$13.35

+9.0% vs today

Midpoint of the range, not a price target

F Bull Case Forecast 2027

$22.19

+81% vs today

10% probability of finishing above $22.19

Short-Term Signal: NeutralBased on price below its 50-day average, positive MACD momentum and RSI 36 (weak). View technical factors →
6M + 12M
  • Historical
  • Forecast median
  • 80% range
Tickzen model
F model forecast
Statistical ranges built from price history alone. No analyst opinions in this part.

F Price Probability

Tickzen's model has a median Oct 2027 outcome of $13.35 (+9.0%) for F. Its 80% modelled range is $8.03 to $22.19.

Median outcome
$13.35
+9.0%
Above today
59%
chance of finishing higher
80% range
$8–$22
−34% to +81% vs today
  • Above today’s price59%
    above $12.25
  • Up 10% or more49%
    above $13.48
  • Up 25% or more36%
    above $15.31
  • Up 50% or more21%
    above $18.38
  • Down 10% or more31%
    below $11.03
  • Down 25% or more17%
    below $9.19
  • Down 50% or more2%
    below $6.13
  • Today $12.25
  • Model median $13.35
  • Analyst mean $15.73
  • 80% range

Hover the curve for the chance of finishing above any price.

These probabilities reflect the model's historical range distribution, not guaranteed returns.

Scenario Analysis Chart

Monthly F Forecast

Tickzen model, prices in US dollars (USD): low, median and high at each month-end (the last row is the final forecast session, about one year out). The range holds 80% of modelled outcomes.

MonthLowMedianHigh
Nov 2026$10.14$12.42$15.20
Dec 2026$9.73$12.51$16.10
Jan 2027$9.43$12.60$16.85
Feb 2027$9.18$12.69$17.51
Mar 2027$8.95$12.78$18.25
Apr 2027$8.75$12.88$18.94
May 2027$8.59$12.97$19.58
Jun 2027$8.43$13.06$20.23
Jul 2027$8.28$13.15$20.88
Aug 2027$8.16$13.25$21.52
Sep 2027$8.04$13.34$22.16
Oct 2027$8.03$13.35$22.19

Model historical accuracy

In historical tests across 300 stocks and 10 start dates, prices finished inside the model's 80% range about 80% of the time across the tested horizons.

80%
3 months
80%
6 months
82%
12 months

See methodology →

Wall Street analysts
F analyst forecast
What the Wall Street analysts covering the stock say. These are opinions, kept separate from the model.

Ford Motor Company Analyst Consensus & Target Price

Wall Street sentiment and price target analysis for F

BUY

Consensus based on 20 analysts

Mean Target Price
$15.73+28.4%
Median Target$15.46
High Target$20.00
Low Target$11.00
Number of Opinions20

Price Target Analysis

Target Range: $11.00 - $20.00

Current vs Mean Target: +28.4%

Analyst Coverage: 20 firms tracking

What the analysts say

Current20 ratings
3 months ago22 ratings
  • Strong buy 3
  • Buy 5
  • Hold 12
  • Sell 0
  • Strong sell 0

40% of analysts rate it buy or strong buy, up 4 points from 3 months ago.

F analyst actions and price-target changes

Rating moves and price targets published by the firms covering F.

Upgrades / downgrades
2 / 0
last 90 days
Targets raised / cut
9 / 0
last 90 days
Latest median target
$17
7 firms · +38.8% vs today

Price targets since Apr 14, 2026

  • Raised
  • Lowered
  • New target
  • Unchanged
  • Today $12.25

Latest actions

  • BNP ParibasTarget raisedJul 30, 2026
    NeutralTarget $15 (from $14, +3.6%)
  • CitigroupUpgradeJul 29, 2026
    Neutral → BuyTarget $20 (from $19, +5.3%)
  • JP MorganTarget raisedJul 29, 2026
    OverweightTarget $17 (from $16, +6.3%)
  • TD CowenTarget raisedJul 29, 2026
    HoldTarget $15 (from $13, +15.4%)
  • Piper SandlerTarget raisedJul 29, 2026
    OverweightTarget $17 (from $16, +6.3%)

F earnings and revenue estimates

What analysts expect the company to report next, and the catalyst that will test it.

Next earnings report

Earnings history →

Oct 28, 2026 in 19 days, after the close

EPS estimate
$0.43
Revenue estimate
$47.7B

Earnings per share

  • Current quarter$0.41$0.33$0.51−8%14
  • Next quarter$0.37$0.29$0.43+186%14
  • Current year$1.86$1.75$1.95+71%18
  • Next year$1.96$1.74$2.15+5%19

Revenue

  • Current quarter$46.9B$42.4B$51.3B−1%7
  • Next quarter$45.9B$42.8B$49.6B+8%6
  • Current year$177.3B$169.9B$192.7B+2%10
  • Next year$180.7B$172.0B$192.9B+2%10

F: Tickzen Forecast vs Wall Street Targets

Tickzen's statistical range and the street's published targets on one price axis.

Tickzen median
$13.35
+9.0% vs today
Wall Street mean target
$15.73
+28.4% vs today
Difference
+17.8%
Wall Street above Tickzen
52-week rangewhere it has traded
Low $11.11High $17.78
Model range, Oct 2027Tickzen model, 80% of outcomes
Low $8.03Median $13.35High $22.19
Analyst targetsWall Street, 12-month
Low $11.00Median $15.46Mean $15.73High $20.00

Dashed line: today's price $12.25

The analyst mean target of $15.73 is 17.8% above the model's median of $13.35 for Oct 2027. It sits in the upper half of Tickzen's model range.

The model's Oct 2027 upper range of $22.19 is above F's 52-week high of $17.78, and its lower range of $8.03 is below the 52-week low of $11.11.

They answer different questions: the model's range shows how far F has typically moved, while analyst targets are opinions about what it is worth.

How Tickzen calculates the F forecast range

The range is based on F's own historical price volatility and the model's forecast distribution: 80% of modelled outcomes fall inside it, 10% above and 10% below. The model uses daily price history only; analyst targets are shown separately and are not an input.

Central 80% prediction interval at the end of each period from a lognormal model scaled by the stock's own realised volatility (sqrt-time growth); base is the median path (long-run drift plus a shrunk Prophet trend).

Volatility the model uses
40% a year
blend of the last 6 and 24 months
Volatility, last 30 days
19% a year
latest 20 trading days
Deepest drop
−30.1%
peak to trough, past 2 years
Beta vs S&P 500
1.12
swings more than the market
Market regime
Balanced
Tickzen regime read

The model is a range model, not a price predictor: its centre line is today's price plus normal long-run growth, so the range matters more than any single number. Probabilities describe the model's distribution, not guaranteed returns.

100% of the analyst target range falls inside the model's 80% range.

Model details

  • Model confidence score: 68.0% (High). This is an indicator-agreement score, a heuristic blend of technical indicators, volume, volatility, analyst consensus, data quality and market regime. It is not a probability and has not been back-tested; the validated figures are under Model historical accuracy.
  • Version: tickzen-prophet-v2
  • Anchored to the Oct 2, 2026 close of $12.10
  • Generated Oct 5, 2026
  • Prices are scaled to the latest close: the model is multiplicative around its starting price, so every figure is multiplied by $12.25 / $12.10 = 1.012. The model is refitted on a schedule; the starting price follows the market.
  • Sources: Yahoo Finance prices and analyst data; earnings calendar from Yahoo Finance and Finnhub.